ECONOMIA
China mexe no sistema financeiro
October 30, 2023 - October 31, 2023 -
A China vai realizar a sua conferência de política financeira quando
procura enfrentar a crescente dívida dos governos locais e uma bolha
imobiliária que pode causar crise na segunda maior economia do mundo.
China’s debt has swollen to a massive 282% of GDP, less than Japan’s 375%, but where the Bank of Japan holds almost two-thirds of the debt as compared to just 21% held by China’s central government. Consequently a higher proportion is in private debt, predominantly for real estate.
Local government, encouraged by Beijing after the 2008 financial crisis to create growth, built up a huge debt for the most part via Local Government Financial Vehicles (LGFVs) for land and infrastructure investments.
With the property sector making up 29% of GDP, any downturn in the market will affect China’s growth, which will in turn affect the global economy.
- China’s growth is buried under great wall of debt (Reuters)
- China Is on Edge as Fallout From Its Real Estate Crisis Spreads (New York Times)
- China Plans Twice-a-Decade Financial Policy Conference Next Week (Bloomberg)
- Why China Has a Giant Pile of Debt (New York Times)
- How China’s property crisis has unfolded, from Evergrande to Country Garden (Financial Times)