Situation report day 250
October 31, 2022 -
With its unpopular “partial mobilization” now declared complete and the next conscription cycle starting November 1, Moscow appears to
be preparing for a spring offensive.
New recruits will require at least six months training before they are ready to go the front line, meaning there are likely to be two waves of troops into Ukraine: the first in the next few weeks and the second in spring.
Russia’s decision to leave the UN-brokered arrangement allowing grain exports from Black Sea ports has sent wheat futures soaring and is likely to trigger a global food crisis. Moscow announced the suspension in response to an attack by a swarm of air and seaborne drones on its Sevastopol naval base which appear to have damaged, and possibly disabled, its flagship the Admiral Makarov as well as two other ships.