Poll – Scottish independence “Yes” campaign in narrow lead
July 4, 2022 - A new poll sees Scotland split over the issue of independence, with those in favour holding a narrow lead.
Somewhat predictably, Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has hailed a poll on Scottish independence which finds the “Yes” campaign has a narrow one percent lead.
The survey by The Sunday Times/Panelbase finds 48% of Scots in favour of independence while 47% are against it (5% are undecided).
However, the same poll also finds voters in Scotland split over whether a second referendum on independence should take place at all on October 19, 2023, with 44% against the motion and 43% in favour.
In 2014, the “No” campaign defeated a vote on Scottish independence with 55%, compared to the “Yes” campaign’s 45%.
Sturgeon argues a new referendum is justified because of a “material change of circumstances” caused by Brexit. The UK voted to leave the European Union in a 2016 referendum, but 62 percent of Scottish voters were opposed to it.
Panelbase poll of 1,010 voters in Scotland, Jun 29-Jul 1, 2022.