Germany's coalition conundrum
September 26, 2021 - As voters prepare to elect a new Bundestag, polls suggest five parties stand a chance of playing a role in government after the election, with only the far-right Alternative for Germany shut out.
Current polls suggest that three parties – the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and their Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), the progressive Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the environmentalist Greens – have relatively similar levels of support. The smaller, pro-business Free Democratic Party (FDP) is in the fourth position and could play a key role in the formation of a coalition.
The latest Insa poll put Olaf Scholz’ SPD at 25% and Armin Laschet’s CDU/CSU bloc at 20%. The Greens stood at 16%, the business-friendly FDP at 13%, the far-right AfD at 12% and the Linke at 7%.
With political loyalties in flux after 16 years under Merkel, coalition building is more complex than ever.