Wachsendes Risiko einer weltweiten Rezession
August 24, 2022 -
Die globale Wirtschaftslage steht vor dem zunehmenden Risiko in Rezession zu fallen – Erhebungen in Asien, Europa und den US zeigen, dass auf Konsumenten hohe Inflation und steigende Energiepreise zukommen.
Multiple purchasing managers’ surveys showed business activity contracting and indicated little hope of a turnaround anytime soon.
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data are compiled by S&P Global for more than 40 countries worldwide, providing an insight into the global economy’s health. A PMI above 50 per cent indicates economic expansion, while below 50 per cent suggests contraction and a potential recession.
In the U.S., private sector firms signalled a sharper fall in business activity during August. The decrease in output was the fastest seen since May 2020 and solid overall.
“The rate of contraction also outpaced anything recorded outside of the initial pandemic outbreak since the series began nearly 13-years ago,” S&P reported.
The composite PMI registered 45.0 per cent in August, down from 47.7 per cent in July, and indicated a second successive monthly decrease in total business activity.
In the Eurozone, S&P reported the PMI Composite Output at 49.2 per cent, down from 49.9 per cent in July -- an 18-month low.
The data pinned the euro to a 20-year low against the dollar, with surging gas prices dragging Europe towards recession.
Private sector growth slowed to a crawl in the United Kingdom as factory output fell. The PMI remained above 50 per cent but had dropped by 1.2 per cent since July.
Japan’s factory growth slowed to a 19-month low of 48.8 per cent, while Australia’s composite PMI fell below the 50 mark separating growth from contraction.