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 نتائج استطلاعات الرأي في انتخابات بولندا infographic
Graphic shows Ipsos exit poll following Poland’s parliamentary election.


نتائج استطلاعات الرأي في انتخابات بولندا

By Duncan Mil

October 16, 2023 - على الرغم من فوزه بمعظم الأصوات، فقدَ حزب القانون والعدالة الحالي في بولندا أغلبيته الانتخابية ومن المرجح أن حزب الائتلاف المدني بقيادة دونالد تاسك سيشكل ائتلافا.

According to an exit poll by Ipsos, PiS is heading for 198 seats in the 460-seat Sejm or parliament but will fall short of the 231 needed for a majority.

Election officials said that turnout was 72.9%, the highest since the fall of communism in 1989. The previous record was 62.7% in 1989.

Trailing PiS’ 36.8% vote share, the centrist Civic Coalition (KO) is in second with 31.6% and will likely secure 161 seats.

President Andrzej Duda will initially ask the biggest party -- right-wing, populist PiS -- to form a government.

However, KO (with 161 seats), Third Way (57 seats), and The Left (30 seats) will have a combined 248 seats, according to Ipsos’s estimates. That would allow them to form a government.

Ipsos conducted the exit poll at 900 randomly selected polling stations with a sample of around 90,000 people, far more significant than average opinion polls.

PUBLISHED: 16/10/2023; STORY: Graphic News; PICTURES: Getty Images